U.S. stocks pushed further into record territory Wednesday, despite an August private-sector employment report coming in below forecasts, which puts Friday’s monthly government jobs report and the timing for tapering of the Federal Reserve’s bond purchases in focus.
What are major indexes doing?
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 13 points, or less than 0.1%, to around 35,374, after trading down almost 100 points at the session low.
- The S&P 500 gained 13 points, or 0.3%, to 4,536, above its Aug. 30 closing high of 4,528.79.
- The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 111 points, or 0.7%, to reach 15,370, above its Aug. 30 closing record of 15,265.89.
On Tuesday, the Dow fell 39 points, or 0.1%, to 35,360, in line with the S&P 500 which fell 0.1% to 4,522.68 and the Nasdaq which closed just below flat at 15,259.24.
Stocks climbed further into record territory, even as private-sector job gains in August came in weaker than expected, in data published Wednesday.
But the “bad news” on the jobs front might be good news for investors on edge about the potential for volatility to kick up in September, and about the Fed’s eventual pullback of its easy-money policies, credited as a key source of record-setting prices for stocks and other assets.
“I think that September, and the volatility that’s usually around in September, can really come back into play,” said Sahak Manuelian, head of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles, in a phone interview.
“It’s been quite the grind higher, and these things are tough to sustain going into September and October,” Manuelian said. “But what is telling is that with this jobs report, even bad news is good, because it could mean further support in the form of more stimulus and aid.”
The Automatic Data Processing report showed a second straight month of weak jobs creation, with August adding 374,000 private-sector jobs, far below the 600,000 forecast by economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. On top of that, July’s rise in jobs was reduced to 326,000 from 330,000.
The Labor Department’s more closely followed nonfarm payrolls comes out Friday.
“All the attention is on jobs data this Friday,” said Jimmy Chang, chief investment officer of Rockefeller Global Family Office. “Relative to what we are currently experiencing in equities, which is a strong seven months of gains, it will be more difficult once tapering starts.”
Should Friday’s payroll figure disappoint, it might prompt Fed officials to delay any decision on when to start reducing its $120 billion of monthly Treasury and mortgage-backed securities purchases until the rate-setting group’s two-day meeting that starts Nov. 2, Chang said.
But tapering likely won’t be the only challenge for stocks this fall. Chang pointed to the looming end of the extra $300 in weekly pandemic unemployment benefits, “which obviously has been very supporting for consumer spending” as another factor, but also the likely end of peak corporate earnings, potentially more taxes as part of a $3.5 trillion spending plan and the unresolved debt-ceiling issue.
“Over the past few months, we had stars perfectly aligned,” he said, speaking to the combination of pandemic stimulus, reopenings and the initial vaccination push. “Everything that was so supportive for the market is starting to wane.”
In Asian economic data, China’s Caixin manufacturing purchasing managers index, or PMIs, for August confirmed Tuesday’s official figures to show that Chinese factory activity contracted last month. Data from seven Southeast Asian countries in the ASEAN bloc also showed that manufacturing activity contracted for the first time since May 2020.
In the U.S., the IHS Markit manufacturing purchasing managers index posted 61.1 in August, down from 63.4 in July, and broadly in line with the earlier released “flash” estimate of 61.2. A reading of 50 or greater indicates improving conditions.
“U.S. goods producers continued to register marked upturns in output and new orders in August, as demand flourished once again,” Sian Jones, senior economist at IHS Markit, said. “That said, constraints on production due to material shortages exerted further pressure on capacity as backlogs of work rose at a near-record rate.”
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index also showed a rise to 59.9 in August from 59.5 in the prior month, and a report on U.S. construction spending increased 0.3% in July.
Oil futures were lower Wednesday, after a meeting between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a group known as OPEC+, including Russia and Saudi Arabia, ended with no changes to their plan to gradually increase crude production.
Which companies are in focus?
- Walmart Inc. WMT shares were off 0.2% after the retail giant said it will host hiring events on Sep. 8 and Sep. 9, with plans to add 20,000 supply chain associates.
- Robinhood Markets Inc. HOOD shares rose 2.3% after the company disclosed Wednesday that the Securities and Exchange Commission staff is reviewing the zero-commission trading platform’s registration statement filed on Aug. 5 for the sale of up to 97.9 million shares of common stock by selling shareholders.
- Shares of Apple Inc. AAPL were 1.1% up Wednesday after The Wall Street Journal reported that the technology behemoth will eventually include a tool to monitor blood pressure and a thermometer to help with fertility planning in its smartwatches.
- Vera Bradley Inc. VRA shares plunged 15% in Wednesday trading after the accessories company reported fiscal second-quarter profit and sales that missed expectations.
- FAT Brands Inc. FAT said Wednesday it agreed to pay $300 million to buy Twin Peaks, a Dallas-based chain of more than 100 sports lodges offering cold draft beer, from seller Garnett Station Partners LLC, the New York-based private-equity firm.
- Campbell Soup Co. CPB reported fiscal fourth-quarter net income of $288 million, or 95 cents per share, up from $86 million, or 28 cents per share, last year. Shares rose 1.5% Wednesday.
- Dollar General Corp. DG said Wednesday that it is looking for store employees, distribution center workers and drivers with a commercial driver’s license (CDL) for its private fleet.
- Shares of Nio Inc. NIO were up 0.1% Wednesday, after the China-based electric vehicle maker cut its third-quarter deliveries outlook, citing the “uncertainty and volatility” of semiconductor supplies.
How are other markets faring?
- In Asia, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 surged 1.3%, while the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index lifted 0.6% and the Shanghai Composite rose 0.7%.
- Chinese technology stocks JD.com and Tencent were standouts in Asian trading, helping the Hang Seng Tech Index outperform and rise 1.3%.
- London’s FTSE 100 closed 0.4% higher, and the pan-European Stoxx 600 rose 0.5%; in Paris, the CAC 40 advanced 1.2% and Frankfurt’s DAX declined 0.1%.
- Oil prices flipped positive, with the U.S. benchmark CL00, up 0.2% to $68.61 a barrel; international benchmark Brent crude was 0.7% higher at $71.40 a barrel.
- Gold futures fell Wednesday, with December gold down $2.10, or 0.1%, to settle at $1,816 an ounce.
- The 10-year Treasury note was trading flat at 1.30%.
Jack Denton contributed reporting