It is hard to get excited after looking at Cerence’s (NASDAQ:CRNC) recent performance, when its stock has declined 16% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company’s financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company’s financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Cerence’s ROE in this article.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company’s shareholders.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cerence is:
1.3% = US$13m ÷ US$993m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated $0.01 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.
Cerence’s Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE
It is quite clear that Cerence’s ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 12%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Thus, the low net income growth of 3.7% seen by Cerence over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Cerence’s reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 28% in the same period, which is not something we like to see.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. Is CRNC fairly valued? This infographic on the company’s intrinsic value has everything you need to know.
Is Cerence Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Cerence can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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